Turkey’s Fidan signals power-based order in South Caucasus, Armenian analyst says

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan’s recent interview with state broadcaster TRT Haber reveals an emerging power-based hierarchy in the South Caucasus rather than a balanced peace framework, Armenian political analyst Suren Surenyants claims.

In a social media post on Monday, Surenyants said Fidan’s remarks, including claims that the United States “values Azerbaijan” while urging Armenia toward peace, amount to an explicit acknowledgment of a subject-object relationship, in which peace is imposed on the losing side rather than negotiated on equal terms. He argues that Washington increasingly views Azerbaijan as a key regional partner, with Armenia relegated to implementing decisions shaped by U.S.-Azerbaijan political arrangements, particularly in light of processes held in Washington on August 8.

Sargsyan also highlighted Fidan’s assertion that Turkey’s regional goals align with those of U.S. President Donald Trump across areas including Russia, Armenia-Azerbaijan relations and Syria, interpreting this as Ankara positioning itself as an operational partner for Western, primarily U.S. interests. He warned that Armenia’s distancing from Russia’s security system has not led to integration into Western security structures, but instead risks placing the country within a Turkey-Azerbaijan-dominated model with limited sovereignty and security guarantees.